Finally expected final has been named. IBB and Fenerbah├že begin to struggle for being the Champion of 2008-2009 season. While Fenerbah├že had played 7 matches until this series, Belediye played 6 games and more fresh than the opponent. Both teams have shown they deserve this final by eliminating the strong opponents. They almost played with 7 players in the semi final battle. Absence of Erhan in IBB is a big disadvantage. Erhan is a key player to get the responsibility in critical moments of a game and he played very good against Galatasaray in the first round until being injured. It is not clear when he would return to the team. However Fenerbah├že has no missing or injured player. But they are tired. Semi final series againt Arkas ended in 5 matches and these battles torn yellow-blues much. Average age of the squad may be seen on the court if the macthes get longer. IBB is younger. When we look at the original formations of the teams, Fenerbah├že’s average is 30.8 except libero, height is 1.99. IBB has the values of 28.2 and 1.97.
Fenerbah├že had 14.2 service errors per match against Arkas in the semi final series while missing 3.4 every set. Belediye has 11 and 2.75 against Ziraat Bankas─▒. So, IBB makes less service mistake than Fenerbah├že. Focusing on to direct service points, Fenerbah├že won 4.2 per match and 1 per set. IBB has 6.3 every match while having 1.6 per set. This means Belediye has more effective services. Nevertheless attacks of Fenerbah├že higher than Belediye. Opposite to %55 attack rate Fenerbah├že, IBB attacks with %50.7. wing hitters of a little bit weak in IBB. While Belediye receiving with %75.3 (%58.7), Fenerbah├že received %68.4 (%49.8). Belediye is ascendant on this technic. Fenerbah├že managed to receive against the hard services of Paul Duerden, Ahmet To├žo─člu and Piotr Gruszka. Belediye players receved against Leandro Maly and Frantz Granvorka. IBB is better than Fenerbah├že in receiving. Moreover, IBB scored moe points from opponent mistakes and has less unforced errors. 22.6 points for Fenerbah├že per game, 5.4 for every set, however Belediye scored 25 points per match and 6.25 per set. Trainer Nedim ├ľzbey wants his players to use the ball when they would not able to kill. That’s the reason. Belediye also ahead for block points. While IBB scoring 10.7 ppg and 2.7 pps average, Fenerbah├že scored considerably less than this (7.6 / 1.8). Ryan Millar’s role is so wide on this stat.
Fenerbah├že setter Arslan is tall and has strong services. But however he sometimes lose the concentration and set the game to wrong angles. He has no trouble distributing the ball to attack but when he could not send the ball to where he thought, spikers would have difficulties. Ula┼č of IBB has International experience but is shorter than Arslan. But he can jump so high and has no deficiency on blocks. Even though his services are not as strong as Arslan, he can break the opponent attacks via his tactical services. Wing hitters of Fenerbah├že are very effective. Experienced Wolf Grbic can attack from the back court even in the last set, against to whom says he gets tired so quickly. Anyway his spikes are not killing like before, opponents may easily dig for those. Tomislav Coskovic and Brook Billings spike so hard that may not be defended if they are not stopped on the block. Particularly, the American Spiker is the strongest candidate for best scorer in play-off round. Scott Tozinsky and Jeroen Trommel of Belediye have limited power on back court attacks. Although Scott attacks from number 6, he is not as strong as Coscovic. It is a quite advantage that Trommel and Volkan are left hand spikers. Opponents have to think twice for them. They maket he block and defense confused with their opposite attacks. But their services not strong enough. Especially Volkan is so unstable on services. There are a tremendous struggle on middle players. Bar─▒┼č, Hakan and Fatih have a great capacity on attacks. However they are not fast enough on blocks, so that opponents score many points when thay play quickly. Bar─▒┼č serves strong sometimes but others do not. Ryan Millar and ├ľzkan Hay─▒rl─▒ are nightmares fort he opponents. They are like a simple player when they serve but they become a spider on the net during the block. If you take a look to the block points, you may easily see that. Setter Ula┼č diverts these two players to the killing attacks via low and fast balls. ├ľzkan is a little bit behind of Millar on this issue.
Both teams have an Olympic Champion in the squad. Ryan Millar is 8 year younger than Vladimir Grbic comparison. His physical capacity is another advantage.
Fenerbah├že will need the supporters more than usual. Supporters are the launching power for Fenerbah├že when they do not have troubles inside. Belediye does not have such power. Nedim ├ľzbey is calm than he has ever been, sure of himself and his team. When he reflects this situation, beating IBB is very difficult. If Belediye stays calm and bears to the tension of matches, may reach to the championship they have missed for many years.
Estimation : 3-2 ─░stanbul B├╝y├╝k┼čehir Belediyesi